SITUATION ANALYSIS
Many factors contributed in Pakistan’s politico-socio-Economic situation for the continuation of Present Musharraf regime under the umbrella and cover of semi-political government of Shaukat Aziz; this regime has left many questions unsolved and determinate the total scenario; not only for General Musharraf himself and his allies; the claims of Shaukat Aziz about economic growth is fake and false in figures and reality. The responsible corners have concluded that he has just claimed figures rather upon the factual situation. This has been proved due to energy and food crises after the other taker government.
The security situation of the country could not be termed as safe and satisfactory. This situation has been deteriorated on daily basis. The only and most popular female leader of Pakistan Peoples’ Party were assassinated publicly after the public meeting on December 27, 2007. This confirmed the safety, security and liberty of national contribution to general election and involvement of common people; made a question mark.
The election would be held on 18th February, 2008, which is a self indicator about level of people involvement or political leaders’ active participation in the upcoming elections. Some political parties have boycotted the Election which includes Qazi Hussain Ahmed of Jamat-e-Islami, and Imran Khan of Tehreek-e-Insaaf.
The Civil society, lawyers, community and some political parties lodged protest against President Musharraf about the transparency of elections and they are not participating in elections; the lawyers’ community, Punjab Bar council cancelled the membership of contesting lawyers including Former Foreign Minister Mr. Khushad Muhammad Kausri. The protest of lawyers is in continuous process.
The elections are going to be held in actual and factual situation, it is a realistic view that now turnover of votes and interest of voters would be less due to
- Less awareness about political and social issues, among general public
- Less participation by women due to their socio-political reasons; although they contribute 52% of total population
- Majority of female population do not have social or political liberty or autonomy
- They are deprived from casting votes or deciding about the candidates
- Little or no education leads to lack of skills and knowledge, resulting most women to be only housewives, not taking part in socio-political matters
- The deprivation of women from education and lacking facilities in health turns the Pakistani women into child bearers/carriers only.
- Women influence upon socio-political or male dominancy from thinking to deciding about any matter; this would contribute in dual way
- Either not to participate
- Would participate as per wishes of male members of the family
UGOOD CONTRIBUTION
UGOOD is contributing widely in raising awareness throughout the country regarding these serious issues. Apart from just boycotting the elections, the main problem for Pakistani women is lack of awareness. We are trying to overcome this problem through our programs in rural areas, where 70% of our population resides. Our dedicated team is conducting workshops to make people aware the circumstances outside their homes. One of the major issues is to make the women come out of their homes. Their lack of knowledge forbids them to take part in any activity that involves going out of the house. Women constitute around 50% of the total population of Pakistan, but the women voter turn out is no more than 10%. Our village organizations are trying their level best to persuade women to vote by making them aware of the political situation and the difference they can make by utilizing their rights.
UGOOD has been quite active in lobbying and social development and striving for good governance through transparent electoral process in Pakistan. We decided to monitor and evaluation the election 2008 process. Our process involves three stages:
- Pre-election observation
- Polling day observation and evaluation
- Election results; impact and analysis
STAGE I:
We observed intimately in few districts of Punjab Province; how to react to women voters to the electoral process.
We decided to give strength and support to the electoral process through capacity building of community based organizations (CBOs) in Sialkot district (Punjab Province) of Pakistan.
STAGE II:
UGOOD has observed the electoral process during the polling day. We had 25 observers in different locations of the country. Our CEO Syed Ishtiaq Ul Hassan Gillani also observed the electoral process with the association of European Union, United Nation, WANGO-USA, UPF-USA, World & I –USA, Washington Post and Washington Time-USA.
STAGE III:
As reported by UGOOD observers, the 2008 elections were held fairly. PPP (86seats) & PML (N) (66 seats) prefers to have a collision Government to resolve all the political mess. Pakistan more than anything needs peace of mind, social and economic development, which is only possible when the people at all levels come together, forgetting their differences, and work for the betterment of the country.
We effectively concluded that the election 2008 leaves many unsold miseries of political life, national security measures, inflation, price hike in staple food and utilities, energy crises etc on the credit of present regime. The benefit will go in favor of PPP, PMLN and independent candidates on local and regional basis.
The current situation also depicted that most of the constituencies having old rivalries and the personality enmity amongst for election cause. We have categorized that trend of political scenario in Punjab, NWFP, Sindh and Baluchistan would be relatively different in its context and behavior. Firstly we take Sindh, its big cities like Karachi, Hyderabad and Sukkhur. The dominancy of MQM is established and they have strong control over there. However, new trends have been established that election adjustments between other parties are being made. Punjab would prove to be actual battle field for PPP, PMLN, and PMLQ; every party is claiming of victory. The situation of NWFP revealed in mix character and behavior, where religious element primarily used to be dominant factor for all estimation. However, PPP, PMLN, and PMLQ would be having in some districts along with regional party Awami National Party. Nevertheless, the situation in FATA and swat would be different. The situation at Baluchistan would similar during last elections.
We have also observed that most of the population has predominantly agreed that supremacy of judicious for law and legitimacy is vital for the success of political system and institutional capacity building for country’s survival. Another opinion has also been endorsed that economic development and success has been opened in the shape of energy and increase in prices of daily utilities. |